Saturday 6 July: 4pm KO
Live on BBC One
It’s the game that no one ever wants to play in. The dreams of playing in a final have faded and died and now you have to play a third/fourth place play-off. It’s still important for England though as they will want to beat Sweden and again finish third to match their 2015 finish.
The feelings of heartbreak linger on for both of these sides after their defeats in the Women’s World Cup semi-finals. This third/fourth place play-off game is a difficult one to take part in. Really you just want to pack your bags and go home.
2015 saw England take part in a third/fourth play-off. They’d lost to Japan in the semi-finals but then defeated Germany to finish third in the competition. Having lost to the USA on Tuesday, Phil Neville’s team won’t want to return home having achieved a lower final position than in 2015. The odds on them finishing third are 4/11 (1.36) at Sportingbet. To win in 90 minutes has odds of 8/11 (1.72) if your wager is placed with Betfair.
Tuesday’s game was another disappointing night for English football. It had all the usual ingredients with plenty of hope, chances missed, a disallowed goal and a penalty miss. Phil Neville has a tough job on his hands though. He has to pick his players up after the devastating defeat on Tuesday. Not just that he has to work out who takes a penalty if his side are given one. England usually struggle with penalty shoot-outs, not this team. They can’t wait until after extra -time to miss them and three times they have failed to convert from the penalty spot.
There are odds of 11/4 (4.75) at William Hill on there being a penalty awarded in 90 minutes. Bet365 will give you 6/1 (7.0) on this third/fourth place game being decided by a penalty shoot-out. Either side can be backed at 13/2 (7.5) to win this game on penalties. Would you trust England in a penalty shoot-out?
Sweden are playing in a third/fourth place play-off for the third time. Their previous two games were in 1991 and 2011 and both were won.Sweden are 9/4 (3.25) at William Hill to finish third in this tournament. The odds of them winning in 90 minutes are 18/5 (4.6) at 888sport.
They battled hard against the Netherlands on Wednesday losing in extra time to the Netherlands. The goalless draw in 90 minutes was the fourth of their six matches to have had under 2.5 goals scored. Seeing one of the other two was against outclassed Thailand, a bet on that stat coming up in this game may well be worth placing. You can get odds of 1/1 (2.0) at MoPlay on under 2.5 goals being scored in 90 minutes.
Sweden have only lost one of their nine previous games against England. Their most recent meeting was in November of last year. England entertained the Swedes in a friendly played at Rotherham and lost 2-0. Sofia Jacobssen scored in that game and is 4/1 (5.0) to score on Saturday.
Phil Neville has rotated his squad throughout this tournament. It’s likely he will make some changes for this third/fourth place play-off.
A Sending Off?
England and Sweden have both had a player sent off in this tournament. If you go to Paddy Power, they will give you 9/1 (10.0) on a player being sent off in this match. The odds on an England player being shown a red card are 20/1 (21.0) at Betfair.
Third/Fourth place play-offs are often boring affairs. Anyone who saw the recent England v Switzerland game in the UEFA Nations League will know that. England will want to finish third and Phil Neville looks capable of keeping them in the mood to get that job done. A bet on England to win and under 2.5 goals scored has odds of 16/5 (4.2) at Betway.