Monday 11 February: 8pm on Sky Sports

Wolverhampton Wanders are having a great first season back in the English Premier League. They are seventh in the table, a position that could see them qualify for the Europa League next season. Wolves are also in the last sixteen of the FA Cup so there’s lots to play for. They host Newcastle United who are battling relegation and if the results went against them over the weekend, could start the game in the bottom three.

Latest Odds

Wolverhampton Wanderers will start this game in seventh place, regardless of the weekend’s other results. After 25 league games, they’d built up a four-point lead over eighth-placed Watford but trailed Arsenal in sixth by nine points. They can be backed at 8/1 (9.0) at SkyBet to finish in the top six.

They have won their last three league games and scored ten goals in the process. That’s a big improvement considering they only have 23 goals in their other 22 league games.

One reason for the goal glut has been the improved form of Raul Jiminez who has scored four goals in his last three games. He’s 4/1 (5.0) at Paddy Power to score the first goal in this game and 5/4 (2.25) at William Hill to score anytime in the match.

Home form for Wolves has seen them win four of their last six league games. That’s another recent area of improvement after winning just two of their first seven. A home win for Wolves in this game is available at 7/10 (1.7) at Betfair.

Newcastle United fans have had a few reasons to celebrate in recent weeks. They had that shock home win over Manchester City and even spent £20m on new signing Miguel Almiron. It’s still a toss up over which is the biggest shock!

They are still in deep relegation trouble beginning the weekend in 15th place, only two points above the bottom three. The last eight league games have only produced two wins and their away form isn’t inspiring. Only two out of 12 away league games have been won this season. Both were against sides down the bottom of the table and Wolves will prove a lot tougher to beat than Burnley and Huddersfield. It’s 5/1 (6.0) at Unibet that they win at Wolves.

Head-to-Head

Wolves haven’t won any of their last four home games against Newcastle, drawing two and losing two. They won 2-1 at Newcastle earlier in the season.

Team News

Wolves will give recalls to the players rested for the FA Cup win over Shrewsbury in midweek.

Under 2.5 Goals Looks Good

Wolverhampton Wanderers have been scoring a fair few goals of late but this won’t be easy against Newcastle. Rafael Benitez has improved his side’s defensive skills of late. Three of their last five away league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. The two that didn’t were tough games at Liverpool and Chelsea. Eight out of 13 Wolves home league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. There are odds of 4/6 (1.66) at Betway on under 2.5 goals in this match.

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United have only kept one away clean sheet in their last seven away league games. Only twice have they conceded at least two goals in those games, but they do struggle to keep an away clean sheet. They are 7/2 (4.5) at Coral to keep Wolves out.

Prediction

Wolverhampton Wanderers said they weren’t just in the Premier League to make up the numbers. They have lived up to that promise and a top seven finish looks likely. Newcastle United still have a lot of work to do to avoid relegation but that “miracle” might just happen. Wolves are in the better form and a home win with under 2.5 goals scored is 2/1 (3.0) at BoyleSports.

Published by Steve Ashfield

Steve is a self-employed freelance writer with years of experience writing about everything from sport to politics. He loves his statistics and quotes them at every opportunity.

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