Sunday 24 March: 2pm KO
Wales begin their Euro 2020 qualifying campaign and beat Trinidad & Tobago in midweek. They host Slovakia who will be looking for their second group win after beating Hungary 2-0 on Thursday evening.
Wales reached the semi-finals of the last European Championships but will probably just be glad to qualify for Euro 2020. They have failed to build on that success and failed to reach the World Cup finals last year and only finished second in their UEFA Nations League group.
They are 66/1 (67.0) at Bet365 to win Euro 2020 and 6/1 (7.0) with Unibet to win their qualifying group. Wales find themselves up against Slovakia, Croatia, Hungary and Azerbaijan.
Slovakia and Croatia both won their opening fixtures with respective home wins over Hungary and Azerbaijan. This is the first match for Wales and Wednesday saw them beat Trinidad & Tobago in a low-key friendly. Fans weren’t too happy to see a weakened line-up with no Gareth Bale.
They needed a 92nd minute goal to clinch a 1-0 win. The odds of the last goal in this game being between the 76th minute and the end of the games are 7/5 (2.4) at Betway.
The win was a welcome one after consecutive losses to Denmark and Albania. Only three of their last nine games have been won and two of those were against the Republic of Ireland. It’s 11/10 (2.1) at Sportpesa that they beat Slovakia.
The visitors already have three points in this group after a 2-0 home win against Hungary on Thursday evening. Their away form is going to be a key factor on whether they can finish in the top two and qualify for the finals.
It’s not looking promising at present with no wins in their last seven away matches with six of them being lost. There are odds of 11/4 (3.75) at Betfred on them beating Wales on Sunday.
The two countries have only met on three previous occasions. The first meeting was 13 years ago when Slovakia traveled to Wales and came away with a 5-1 victory. The last two meetings have both been won by Wales with a 5-2 away win in 2007 and a victory in 2016 European Championship finals. Gareth Bale scored the first goal in that game and he’s 16/5 (4.2) to open the scoring in this match.
Wales will recall those players left out for Wednesday’s friendly. That means Gareth Bale returns to the starting line-up but Aaron Ramsey, Ethan Ampadu, Tom Lawrence and Sam Vokes will miss the game. Aaron Ramsey and David Brooks are expected to be fit for this match.
Low Scoring Affair?
The last three Slovakia away games have all had under 2.5 goals scored in them. They have failed to score more than one goal in each of their last seven away matches. With three of the last four Welsh games having under 2.5 goals scored, it’s 1/2 (1.5) at Betfair that stat gives you a winning bet on Sunday.
Slovakia to Score?
Slovakia aren’t scoring that many goals on their travels but they face a Welsh side that struggles to keep a clean sheet. They had conceded in each of their last six home games before preventing Trinidad & Tobago from scoring on Wednesday. The odds on Slovakia scoring on Sunday are 11/20 (1.55) at MarathonBet.
Wales made a promising start to the 2018/19 season with a 4-1 home win over the Republic of Ireland. Poor results against Denmark cost them their Nations League group and now they try to get their Euro 2020 campaign off to a good start. That won’t be straightforward against a team that won their opening group match on Thursday. Just how many points Slovakia can earn on the road is going to be important in this group. A bet on a draw with under 2.5 goals is 13/5 (3.6) at Betway.