We may be eighteen months away from the next Presidential election, but the campaigning is already underway, particularly on the Democratic side of the aisle, where a bewildering array of candidates have entered the race to take on President Trump. 

No fewer than 24 people have thrown their hats into the ring, and even US political junkies are having a hard time remembering the full list. It’s a stark difference to the last Presidential election cycle when only Bernie Sanders mounted a serious challenge to the favourite Hilary Clinton and reflects the fact of the current President’s deep and enduring unpopularity in the US. 

Trump has performed consistently poorly in approval ratings and hasn’t come close to crossing the fifty percent threshold in 28 months as President. Given that his victory in 2016 was by a narrow margin, the 2020 election looks like an ideal opportunity to take a shot at becoming President, and even for a minor candidate, a good run in the Democratic Primaries could be a major career boost. 

In terms of winning the Democratic nomination, however, there would appear to be only a handful of realistic contenders. And top of the pile is Joseph Robinette Biden. Vice President to President Obama until 2017, Biden was at one stage considering running in 2016 and has since said that he regretted not being able to enter the race, though the death of his son Beau in May 2015 left him in no state to contemplate what could have been a bruising primary campaign. 

Although he will be 77 at the time of the election – three years older than Trump – Biden has a number of advantages, including widespread name recognition, better, although not spectacular, approval numbers and an ability to connect with the same white working class voters in the rust belt of the north-east who switched from Obama to Trump in 2016. 

He is the current 7/2 favourite to win the Democratic nomination with bookmakers, though his lead over second favourite Bernie Sanders (9/2) is shrinking, while younger alternatives Kamala Harris (5/1) and Pete Buttigieg (7/1) are also closing the gap, and Elizabeth Warren (12/1) has been running a very effective campaign on social media. Whether Biden, as an establishment figure, can enthuse young Democrats and progressives remains to be seen. 

Published by Andie Hughes

Based in England, Andie Hughes is a freelance betting writer with over a decade of experience in the industry. Andie has written for ESPN, Betfair, Sporting Life, and Boylesports, and can be contacted at andiehughes73@gmail.com.

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