Wednesday 17 July: 8pm KO
Live on EuroSport
Both of these countries had heartbreaking semi-final defeats in the African Cup of Nations. Probably the last thing they want is to play another game. That’s what they have to do though as they battle it out in this third and fourth place play-off game.
Tunisia are ranked 25th in the world and only Senegal (who beat them in the semi-finals) are ranked higher. Despite that lofty ranking, they have struggled at times in this tournament. Indeed, only one of their six matches have been won in 90 minutes. The odds of a second one in this game are 2/1 (3.0) at Paddy Power.
They drew all three of their group matches and ended up finishing second behind Mali. Tunisia lived to regret that when it put them into the same half of the draw as 22nd ranked Senegal. They had their chances to win that group though.
Tunisia led in their first game but could only draw 1-1 with Angola who are ranked 98 places below them in the world. They had to come from behind to get a point against Mali and then drew 0-0 with Mauritania. That was another disappointing result as their opponents are ranked 103rd in the world. There are odds of 2/1 (3.0) on another draw in this game if your wager is placed with Unibet.
The last sixteen produced another draw as they were held 1-1 by Ghana. They so nearly won the game in normal time but their opponents equalized in the 92nd minute. Even more painful is the fact it was an own goal by Rami Bedoui. Tunisia went on to win the match 5-4 on penalties. You can get 9/2 (5.5) on them winning this match via a penalty shoot-out.
Finally, Tunisia got a win in 90 minutes as they ended the great run of Madagscar with a 3-0 win in the last eight. Their run to the semi-finals was the best the Tunisians have achieved in this tournament since winning it in 2004. Since then they lost five quarter finals and failed to make it out of their group on two occasions.
Another Own Goal
They faced Senegal in the semi-finals and again the match ended level after 90 minutes. This time it was 0-0 but tragedy struck when Dylan Bronn scored an own goal in the 100th minute. Senegal hung on for the 1-0 win to end Tunisia’s hopes of a second title win. Both teams missed penalties in that game. It’s 22/1 (23.0) at Bet365 that Tunisia miss one in this match.
Nigeria are no strangers to playing in a third and fourth place play-off in this tournament. This is the eighth time they have ended up in this dreaded game. They have a great record in them though having won all of the previous seven. William Hill will give you 6/4 (2.5) on them winning this game against Tunisia in 90 minutes.
They got off to a good start in this tournament beating Burundi and Guinea. Both games ended 1-0 and the odds of that being the scoreline against Tunisia is 6/1 (7.0) at Ladbrokes. Any hopes of winning all three group game ended when losing 2-0 to Madagascar leaving them second in the group.
The last sixteen saw them in a thrilling clash with defending champions Cameroon. They led 1-0, trailed 2-1 but ended up 3-2 winners. If you think Nigeria can win this match in 90 minutes after going behind, SkyBet will give you odds of 16/1 (17.0). It took an 89th minute goal to get past South Africa in the last eight, setting up a semi-final clash with Algeria. Heartbreak followed in the semi-finals as they lost 2-1 to Algeria. Extra time looked on the cards but Manchester City’s Riyad Mahrez hit a 95th minute winner.
The last four games between these two sides have all ended as a draw. Three have been score draws. It’s 10/3 (4.33) at BoyleSports that this game ends up a draw after 90 minutes with both teams scoring.
It’s possible some team changes could be made for this third and fourth place play-off.
These are difficult games to play in and often fizzle out into low-scoring draws. Both teams have had their fair share of matches with under 2.5 goals scored in them. Three of the last four play-offs have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. This could be another and the odds of that stat coming up are 8/15 (1.52) at Betfair.