Wednesday 10 July: 5pm KO
Live on EuroSport
Senegal are the new favourites to win the African Cup of Nations after the shock exit of Egypt at the weekend. They are in top form going into this game with Sadio Mane among the goals. Their opponents are Benin who are looking to cause another shock after beating Morocco on penalties.
Senegal were strongly fancied coming into this tournament after a long unbeaten run. They had gone seven games without defeat with six straight wins. The other game was their first after the 2018 World Cup exit last summer. They drew 2-2 with Madagascar which was a bit disappointing at the time but not so now. Senegal are 2/9 (1.22) at William Hill to qualify for the semi-finals and they could meet Madagascar in the last four. The odds on them winning this tournament are 24/13 (2.84) if your wager is placed with Sportingbet.
The unbeaten run for Senegal continued with a comfortable 2-0 win over Tanzania in their opening group match. However, one match later the run was over as Senegal lost 1-0 to Algeria. Any worries about qualifying in the top two proved to be worthless when Senegal beat Kenya 3-0 in their final group match.
Sadio Mane has continued the form he showed for Liverpool last season. He scored twice in the victory over Kenya and was on the scoresheet again in the last sixteen. Mane got the winner against Uganda in their 1–0 win but also missed a penalty. He’s 3/1 (4.0) at Betfred to score the first goal in this match. SkyBet will give you 13/10 (2.3) on him scoring in 90 minutes.
Whereas Senegal are the highest ranked African nation at number 22 in the world, Benin are only ranked 88th. This is only their fourth time in the finals of the African Cup of Nations. Their previous three appearances all saw them fail to get past the group stage without winning a game.
Although Benin have exceeded all expectations and made it to the last eight, there’s still one thing they haven’t been able to do. They are still without a win in 90 minutes having drawn all four of their matches in this tournament.
They are the 36/1 (37.0) outsiders with Sportingbet to win this tournament. Wouldn’t it be amazing if they kept drawing and winning on penalties to become champions without a win in 90 minutes? The odds on this game against Senegal ending all square are 29/10 (3.9) at MoPlay.
The group stage saw Benin draw 2-2 with Ghana after taking a second minute lead through Mickael Pote. He scored both goals for Benin in that match and is 7/1 (8.0) at Betfair to score in this quarter final. You can get odds of 7/2 (4.5) at Paddy Power on Benin being the first team to score in this game.
Benin followed that opening draw with Ghana with two more stalemates against Guinea-Bissau and Cameroon. Both ended goalless and Unibet will give you 13/2 (7.5) on this match ending 0-0. Benin qualified for the knock-out stages as one of the best third-placed teams. That took them into a last sixteen clash with Morocco and Benin again took the lead. They couldn’t hold onto it though and ended up drawing 1-1. It’s 9/5 (2.8) at BetVictor that both teams score in this game.
There were no goals in extra time and Benin caused the shock by winning a penalty shoot-out. You can get odds of 8/1 (9.0) at Bet365 on Benin winning this game in 90 minutes. The odds on them getting another penalty shoot-out victory are 12/1 (13.0) at SkyBet.
Senegal have won their last three games against Benin. The odds on them winning this game in 90 minutes are 1/2 (1.5) at Blacktype.
Benin will be missing their centre-back Khaled Adenon. He was sent off in the last sixteen game against Morocco.
Senegal won’t take anything for granted in this match. They have the stronger squad and with Mane in form (just don’t let him take the penalties), the favourites can progress to the last four. A bet on Senegal to win with over 1.5 goals in the match has odds of 1/1 (2.0) at Betway.