Tuesday 30 April: 7.45pm KO
A vital game for both of these English League One Clubs. Portsmouth are in third place and four points behind the top two with a couple of games left. With an inferior goal difference, they simply have to win this home game against Peterborough United to retain any hopes of automatic promotion this season. Peterborough United are seventh in the league and four points behind the final play-off position and need a win at Fratton Park.
Portsmouth have already won the EFL Trophy at Wembley this season but probably would prefer not to play at England’s National Stadium again next month. They are third in English League One and in the next week could still win automatic promotion back to the Championship
They are on 87 points for the season but that’s four behind Luton Town and Barnsley. Pompey have this game in hand on the top two but because of their inferior goal difference need a win or it’s the play-offs for them and another possible trip to Wembley. With both of their final two games being played at Fratton Park, Pompey have a good chance of making the top two with second-placed Barnsley having a difficult final away game at Bristol Rovers,
Portsmouth are 16/1 (17,0) at Bet65 to win the League One title. That’d require two wins and neither of the top two winning their final matches. The odds on them getting a top-two finish are 5/2 (3.5) at Unibet and if you go to 888sport, they’ll give you 1/1 (2.0) on Pompey being promoted this season.
Portsmouth are in great form at present and had won seven league games in a row before a 1-1 draw at Sunderland on Saturday 27 April. It’s 4/6 (1.66) with SkyBet that they do win this game to keep their automatic promotion hopes alive.
They have won their last four home league games and that follows a run of four without a win. 13 goals have been scored in those four matches but their success isn’t just about how many times they hit the back of the net. Portsmouth have only conceded 18 home league goals and only Barnsley and Charlton Athletic have conceded less.
Whereas Portsmouth would still have the play-offs to fall back on if failing to win this game, that’s not the case for their opponents. Peterbrough have to win this match or they will be playing League One football again next season.
They are seventh in the table and four points behind Doncaster Rovers with two games to go. Their goal diffrence is inferior to that of Rovers, so they just have to win this match. Peterborough are 12/1 (13.0) at Betfair to finish in the top six this season and odds of 100/1 (101.0) are available at Paddy Power on them being promoted this season.
The Posh aren’t in good form at the wrong time of the season. Their last three league games have produced a miserable two points. Saturday saw them lose 3-0 at relegation-threatened Walsall but they have to pick themselves up for this game or the final home match against Burton Albion will mean nothing. Peterborough have only won one of their last five away league games and it’s 4/1 (5.0) at BoyleSports that they win at Fratton Park.
Portsmouth have won their last three games against Peterborough. At home, Pompey have kept three straight clean sheets against the Posh. You can get odds of 2/1 (3.0) at BetVictor on a Portsmouth win to nil on Tuesday evening.
No major injury problems from the weekend fixtures have been reported.
Both Teams to Score?
The last six Portsmouth league and cup games have all seen both teams score. At Betfred, they will give you 8/11 (1.72) on that stat happening on Tuesday night.
Both sides have to win this game but it’s Portsmouth who are in by far the better form and have home advantage. A bet on Portsmouth to win with both teams scoring is 9/4 (3.25) at Betway.