Newcastle United will have an opportunity to rid themselves of their home woes here against a struggling Fulham side that could be destined for relegation.
Newcastle’s home and road splits so far this season have been rather perplexing. The Magpies have a (-8) goal differential at home but have been a top-ten team in the Premiership while on the road. I would expect that to regress to the mean before the end of the season and what better time to turn that tide than against the bottom-dweller Fulham.
The Magpies may have had some stumbles at home, but Fulham have completely fallen on their face playing away from The Cottage. They are currently winless with a league worst (-18) goal differential on the road. Most the blame here can be directed towards their defence, which has been remarkably poor letting in 42 goals to date.
The good news for Fulham is that Newcastle’s attack has not threatened many sides to this point. On average, the Magpies score a goal every 110 minutes of action. It turns out that it is tough to win games, even at home, when you do not score.
So, we are left with the age-old question, does bad offense beat bad defence? The market is currently leaning that way as the odds listed below suggest. This should be one of the more competitive games of the day and table position asides, this is a game worth watching even as a neutral spectator.
Odds to Win
Newcastle: 21/20 or 48.8 percent
Fulham: 3/1 or 25 percent
Draw: 13/5 or 27.8 percent
Injuries of Note
Ciaran Clark (out)
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