The 2020 Academy Awards may be ten months away but the betting for the Best Picture Oscar is already well underway, and as ever, bookmakers have been attempting to weigh up the chances of a wide range of movies, most of which have not yet seen the light of day.
It is relatively easy to identify those likely to have a strong chance, such as the current favourite in the Best Picture betting, The Irishman, which is directed by Oscar winner Martin Scorcese and involves Oscar winners Al Pacino and Robert de Niro. Bookmaker Paddy Power have it priced up at 3/1, while they go 4/1 for The Laundromat, starring multiple Oscar winner Meryl Streep.
But outside the leading contenders, the odds become more speculative, and the upcoming comic/horror crossover The New Mutantsis a case in point. The movie is based on a Marvel Comics story, and is intended to be the thirteenth, and final, instalment in the X-Men series that has proven to be a box office success. Directed by Josh Boon, it focuses on a team of young mutants held in a top-secret facility who fight for survival and redemption.
The movie has the potential to attract both superhero and horror fans, and the presence of Maisie Williams and Charlie Heaton should give it added box office appeal. But Paddy Power have given it a tentative 45/1 price in the Best Picture market, and it’s not hard to see why.
For a start, the movie is up against a number of other superhero contenders this year, including Captain Marvel (20/1), Joker (25/1) and Avengers: Endgame (14/1). More importantly, it combines two genres that haven’t exactly been prolific in the Best Picture stakes. The only horror movie ever to win Best Picture was Silence of the Lambs (1991) while no superhero movie has ever won the coveted award, and in what looks like being a competitive Best Picture race this year, The New Mutants, which is due out in August,looks an unlikely winner.