Monday 25 March: 7.45pm KO
Live on ITV
England made a strong start to their Euro 2020 qualifying campaign with a 5-0 home win over the Czech Republic. That took them two points clear at the top of their group as the other game played between Montenegro and Bulgaria ended in a 1-1 draw. Another win for England in this game will put them in a strong position to win the group.
England’s good form continued when they beat the Czech Republic 5-0 in their opening Euro 2020 qualifier. They were already the overwhelming favourites to win this group and are now 1/12 (1.08) to finish top of Group A. The odds on them winning the Euro 2020 final (which will be played at Wembley) are 7/1 (8.0) at Betfred.
The win on Friday evening extended England’s unbeaten run to six games with wins in each of the last four. The goals are flowing with 13 in those four matches as England continue playing an attacking brand of football. It’s a refreshing sight and something some of us have been waiting about 40 years to see.
With Montenegro and Bulgaria drawing their opening qualifier, England have a good chance to open up a promising lead in this group. The other group fixture being played on Monday sees Kosovo beginning their group with a home game against Bulgaria.
England are unbeaten in their last 19 Euro qualifiers with their last defeat coming 12 years ago in Croatia. The last 11 qualifiers have been won and you can get 2/5 (1.4) at Coral on them making it a round dozen with victory in Montenegro.
The home side will be cursing that they didn’t start their campaign with a win. They were 1-0 up in Bulgaria with just eight minutes to go before conceding a penalty. The game ended 1-1 and now they have two home fixtures with Kosovo following after this game against England.
They are 40/1 (41.0) at Unibet to win this group. Defeat in this game would probably end those hopes already but a top-two finish is their aim to qualify for the championship finals for the first time in their short history. It’s 8/1 (9.0) that they win this match.
While England were busy winning their Nations League group, Montenegro could only finish third in their group. That keeps them in League C but they only won two of their six group matches against Serbia, Romania and Lithuania. Both of those wins were against Lithuania who lost all of their group matches.
The two teams have only met on a couple of occasions. That was in the 2014 World Cup qualifiers with England winning 4-1 at Wembley but being held to a 1-1 draw in Montenegro. The odds on this game ending in draw are 3/1 (4.0) at Paddy Power. You can get 5/4 (2.25) at Bet365 on both teams scoring.
England will continue to be without several players including Marcus Rashford and Eric Dier has been added to the injury list after Friday’s game.
Sterling on the Rise
Raheem Sterling used to have a terrible scoring record for England but that’s all changed this season. Two goals in Spain ended a run of 27 England games without a goal. Friday saw him score a hat-trick for England and you can get 9/1 (10.0) at Betfair on him scoring at least twice against Montenegro.
It’s 70/1 (71.0) at Paddy Power that he scores another hat-trick. If you don’t want to set the bar too high, Sterling is 11/2 (6.5) to score the first goal of the game, just as he did against Spain and the Czech Republic.
An England Goal in the First Half
England have scored in the first half in three of their last four games. William Hill will give you 9/5 (2.8) on them doing that in Montenegro.
England are in top form at present and if they can win in Spain and draw in Croatia, they are more than capable of beating Montenegro. A bet on England to win and over 1.5 goals in the match is 4/5 at Betway.