Saturday 2 March: 3pm KO
March is going to be a big month for Millwall as they host Brighton and Hove Albion in the quarter finals of the FA Cup. Before that game is played, they have the important matter of three games in the Championship as they battle relegation. Norwich City also have key matches ahead of them and at the time of writing, are top of the Championship from Sheffield United and Leeds United.
Millwall may have a home FA Cup quarter final to look forward to but surviving in the Championship is their main task. They are two places and four points above the bottom three with 12 game remaining. You can get odds of 12/1 (13.0) on them going down this season.
The Londoners have had a mixed time since beating AFC Wimbledon in the FA Cup fifth round. They caused a shock when getting only their second away league win of the season with victory at Derby County.
Momentum went right out the window when they hosted Preston North End last Saturday and conceded three first-half goals. They eventually lost 3-1 and their plight worsened with a 2-1 loss at Hull City on Tuesday evening.
Millwall are still looking for their first home league win of 2019. It’s 5/2 (3.5) at BetVictor that they get that win on Saturday. At least they scored in that 3-1 defeat by Preston as they’d failed to hit the back of the net in their last three home league games before that match. They scored 15 goals in their first eight home league matches but the past nine have only produced six goals.
Norwich City top the table at the time of writing but a win for Leeds on Friday will see them lose first place. Three points here though will take them back to the top spot and they are 5/4 (2.25) at SportingBet to win the Championship this season. The odds on them being promoted have shortened to 2/7 (1.28) at SkyBet.
The Canaries have won four of their last five league games, the other being a 3-1 away loss at Preston North End. Only two of their 15 away league matches have ended in defeat, the other being at Sheffield United way back in August. You can get odds of 23/20 (2.15) at Betfair on an away win for Norwich in this game.
Norwich have won five of their last six games against Millwall. They will want to forget the other one as that was lost 4-0 in August 2017. This is a game that usually produces plenty of goals and those five Norwich wins have seen them score 18 goals. The East Anglian side have only won one of their last six away games against Millwall.
Millwall v Norwich City Team News
No major injuries have been reported for this fixture.
Over 2.5 Goals Likely
Norwich City are the highest goal scorers in the Championship and have 31 away goals. 22 of their 34 league games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them and that’s happened in each of their last three away matches. At least three goals have been scored in the last six games played between these two teams. Bet365 have odds of 10/11 (1.91) on there being over 2.5 goals scored in this match.
Pukki on Target?
Norwich City’s top scorer is Teemu Pukki and before their 3-2 win over Bristol City last weekend, he’d scored in six straight games. Pukki can be backed at odds of 7/2 (4.5) at Betfair to score the first goal and 7/5 (2.4) at Coral to score at any time in the game.
Win from Behind?
The reverse fixture was an absolute thriller. Norwich trailed 1-0, led 2-1 but then went 3-2 down before two injury time goals gave Norwich a 4-3 win. The Canaries have had a few games like that and it’s 11/1 (12.0) that they come from behind to win this match.
Between them these two teams have conceded 94 league goals this season. Norwich may be 19 places above their opponents in the table but have only conceded six goals less than them. A low-scoring game isn’t on the cards here that’s for sure. A bet on Norwich to win in a game with over 2.5 goals scored is 23/10 (3.3) at BoyleSports.