Sunday 12 May: 3pm KO
Live on Sky Sports
When you lose just one league game all season and have 94 points in the bag, you expect your final day fixture to be one filled with celebration. The title would have probably been won a few games ago and it’s time for celebration, but not for Liverpool. They come into this final Premier League match knowing even a win over Wolverhampton Wanderers won’t assure them of winning the title.
It was back in 1990 that Liverpool were last crowned champions of English football. They won the old Division One and totalled just 79 points from their 38 games. In 1988 they reached the 90 point mark and won the title by nine points. Fast forward to 2019 and they have 94 points from 37 games and the odds on them winning the title are 6/1 (7.0) at Betfred.
The past few months have seen a titanic struggle between Liverpool and Manchester City. With them regularly playing at different times (oh for the regular 3pm Saturday kick-offs before television took over), the lead has changed hands time-after-time.
Liverpool have won their last eight league games but Manchester City have won the last 13. Crucially perhaps, City took four points out of six against the Reds including inflicting Liverpool’s only league defeat of the season in early January. That’s why William Hill will only give you 1/10 (1.1) on Manchester City winning the Premier League title this season.
Jurgen Klopp’s team has that one league loss this season and Liverpool have never lost as few games as that in a season throughout their entire history. However, they have had seven draws and won just the 29 league matches compared to City’s 31. It’s 9/2 (5,5) at Betfred that this game against Wolves ends in a draw, a result that gives the title to Manchester City.
Liverpool have to win this game but know it may well mean nothing at all if City can win at Brighton and Hove Abion. The odds on that happening are only 1/6 (1.16) at William Hill. The Reds haven’t lost a home game in the Premier League all season and avoiding defeat here will take their unbeaten league run to 40 games. Despite winning 16 and drawing two (one against Manchester City), they will still end the season with less home points earned than their title rivals.
No one will ever forget the midweek heroics of their Champions League win over Barcelona. They are 1/2 (1.5) at Betfred to win that competition. Another miracle might be need to win the Premier League title but that has to be caused by lowly Brighton and Hove Albion who are 18/1 (19.0) with William Hill to get a win over Manchester City on Sunday.
Wolverhampton Wanderers have already beaten Liverpool once this season, knocking them out of the FA Cup in the third round. It was a weakened Liverpool side but Wolves have had their fair share of wins against sides in the top six. They have beaten Manchester United twice, won at Tottenham and only recently beat Arsenal at home. In the early days of this season they even held Manchester City to a draw.
They are assured of finishing seventh in the table and if Manchester City can beat Watford in next Saturday’s FA Cup final, that will qualify Wolves for the Europa League. That’s a great achievement in their first season back in the Premier League but they are 37 points behind Liverpool compared to 26 above the relegation zone.
Their away form isn’t the best heading into this final game of the season. A win at Watford last weekend ended a run of five games without a win. Only six away league games have been won this season and just 19 goals scored on their travels Betfred will give you odds of 10/1 (11.0) on them beating Liverpool this weekend.
Liverpool are hopeful that Mo Salah can play in this game. If he does then the Egyptian is 17/20 (1.85) with William Hill to score in this game. Andy Robertson and Jordan Henderson are also both fit but there’ll be no Roberto Firmino. Wolves have no injury worries for this match.
Wolves have won two of their last three games against Liverpool, both in the FA Cup. Liverpool have won the last four league meetings with three of those wins in games with over 2.5 goals scored in them. It’s 4/5 (1.8) at Betfred that Liverpool win this game and over 2.5 goals are scored.
Liverpool can be comfortably backed to beat Wolves, who have little to play for now seventh place has been achieved. A bet on a Liverpool win to nil has odds of 19/20 (1.95) at William Hill.