Sunday 14 July: 10.30am start

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Many days ago, in fact it was the last day of May (not Theresa), the ICC World Cup began. A month and a half later the final is due to take place on Sunday and a first-time winner will be crowned. Neither England or New Zealand have previously been crowned world one-day cricket champions but that will change this weekend.

Latest Odds

44 years ago the first ever World Cup was held and England have never won the title. They are the number one ranked team in the world and are 1/3 (1.33) at William Hill to beat New Zealand at Lord’s on Sunday.

England haven’t had it all their own way in this tournament. There was an early loss to Pakistan and then two in a row against Sri Lanka and Australia. The doom and gloom merchants were starting to come out. The fear was that England might miss out on the semi-finals.

Then they put in dominant performances against India and New Zealand to reach the last four. It was a simple process for them to get those wins. Bat first, score 300 and then ensure their opponents get nowhere near them. Two centuries were scored by Johnny Bairstow in those matches and he’s 3/1 (4.0) at Betfair to be the top England batsman in the final.

That way of winning wasn’t pursued in the semi-final though. Australia batted first and England quickly reduced them to 14-3. The Australians made a good comeback but then the wickets began to fall again being dismissed for 223. Chris Woakes did the early demolition work with three wickets and Adil Rashid’s spin caused the later collapse, also taking three wickets.

England were never in trouble in their reply. Jason Roy and Johnny Bairstow put on 124 for the first wicket. Their partnerships are so important to England and it’s noticeable that their slump happened when Roy was out of the team injured. You can get 8/15 (1.52) at Betway that England get the most runs in the first ten overs. Roy hit five sixes in his innings hitting Steve Smith all over the shop. The odds on England hitting more sixes than New Zealand are 4/7 (1.56) at Unibet.

With Joe Root and Eoin Morgan putting on an unbeaten 79, England won with 17 overs to spare. A display anything like this in the final will see England home.

Kiwis in Second Successive Final

New Zealand lost to Australia in the 2015 final and it was looking unlikely they would make it to another final. They started well in this tournament but then their form began to slide. Defeats by Australia and England put them in danger of not qualifying for the knock-out stages.

Eventually they edged Pakistan out on net run rate (well done if you can calculate that) but they went into the semi-final against India as underdogs. After two woeful run chases in their past two games, New Zealand batted first. They could only score 239-8 and a score like that is unlikely to trouble England.

With the game delayed and a second day required, it was New Zealanders bowlers who got them back in the game. They reduced India to 5-3 and 24-4. When Rohit and Kohli only score two between them, your hopes of victory are high. Matt Henry is 4/1 (5.0) to be top New Zealand bowler if your wager is placed with Betfred.New Zealand went on to win by 18 runs to reach the final.

New Zealand can’t be written off at all in this final. They are 5/2 (3.5) at Paddy Power to win this final. If their bowlers could repeat their semi-final actions, then those could be good odds. When it comes to batting though, a lot of hopes will be on Kane Williamson who tops the batting averages. He’s 2/1 (3.0) at Ladbrokes to be their top batsman.


New Zealand are 43-41 ahead in previous one-day matches. England had a comfortable win over New Zealand in the league stage of this tournament.

Team News

Both teams are injury free at present.


England are in better form than their opponents. That’s definitely the case in terms of the batting line-up. All could change if England batted first and lost early wickets but they bat deep and bowl well. England can win this match and a bet on Adil Rashid to take the most wickets for England has odds of 4/1 (5.0) at Bet365.

Published by Steve Ashfield

Steve is a self-employed freelance writer with years of experience writing about everything from sport to politics. He loves his statistics and quotes them at every opportunity.

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