Mexico v Haiti, Glendale, USA. 

Wednesday July 3, 03:00 BST. 

The CONCACAF Gold Cup semi-finals are held this week, and it’s no surprise to see the pre-tournament favourites, Mexico and the United States still standing at the last-four stage, but the identity of their opponents. There have already been one or two shocks, most notably Curacao’s qualification for the knock-out stages, so what price another Gold Cup surprise?

Head to Head Dominance

According to the bookmakers, this will be a straightforward task for Mexico, and based on the head to head record of these teams, it’s hard to argue. Mexico first played Haiti back in 1953 and have been almost completely dominant in this fixture, having won five out of six meetings, by an aggregate scored of 22:2. Haiti managed to break that dominance just once, when they earned a draw in 1981, although they have only played one another once since then; at the quarter-final stage of the 2009 CONCACAF Gold Cup, when Mexico prevailed 4-0. 

Mexico Find A Way

Mexico coach Gerardo ‘Tata’ Martino went into this tournament without a number of players who would usually be regulars. Hector Herrera, Javier Hernandez and Carlos Vela all withdrew while young star Hirving Lozano is out with an injury. That didn’t seem to hinder Los Tri initially, as they thrashed Cuba and comfortably beat Canada to earn qualification, but they were pushed hard by Martinque in their final Group game and were taken to penalties by Costa Rica in the quarters. 

Refreshing Haiti

Haiti have never reached this stage of the tournament, but they have done so in thrilling style, having won their last five games in all competitions. They saw off Bermuda, Nicaragua and Costa Rica to top Group B with maximum points and then produced a thrilling comeback in their quarter-final, overturning a 2-0 half-time deficit against Canada to win 3-2. Their high line has left them vulnerable at times, but they attack at pace and are prepared to shoot from anywhere. 

A Potentially Fascinating Clash

Mexico are obvious favourites and are around the 1/5 mark with most bookmakers, but at 14/1, there may be some punters willing to take a chance on an exciting Haiti team that has little to lose in what promises to be a fascinating and hopefully action-packed semi-final. 

Published by Andie Hughes

Based in England, Andie Hughes is a freelance betting writer with over a decade of experience in the industry. Andie has written for ESPN, Betfair, Sporting Life, and Boylesports, and can be contacted at

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