Sunday 3 March: 4.15pm KO
Live on Sky Sports
Everton’s home ground may be a short distance from Anfield but there’s a huge gap between the two Premier League teams. Liverpool are 33 points ahead of their opponents and another win on Sunday will keep them top of the table.
It’s been an up and down season for Everton who begin this weekend in ninth place in the Premier League. They had big plans for this season after finally getting their hands on manager Marco Silva and a heavy spend in the summer transfer window.
Everton made a promising start to the new season and a top six finish looked a distinct possibility. However, a disastrous December saw them earn just five points from seven league games. Their inconsistency was perfectly summed up as they lost 6-2 at home to Tottenham on the 23rd and then on Boxing Day won 5-1 at Burnley.
The new year didn’t start well either with more league losses and an FA Cup exit at the hands of Championship side Millwall. All of this saw Everton drop into the bottom half of the table and there were serious questions being asked about the future of Marco Silva.
Their run of three straight league defeats ended on Tuesday with a 3-0 win at struggling Cardiff City. That took them to ninth in the Premier League and only four points adrift of seventh place that could yet provide Europa League football next season.
Defending isn’t the strongest part of Everton’s skill set. They have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven home league games. That was against Bournemouth who are totally woeful on their travels. There are odds of 5/1 (6.0) on an Everton clean sheet on Sunday.
The trouble is Everton’s last four league wins have all come against struggling sides, two currently in the bottom three. Now they face the side top of the table and they are 5/1 (6.0) at Betfair to win this match.
Liverpool have only lost one league game this season but their lead at the top is only a point. That’s due to a run of four three draws in four league matches. It’s 3/1 (4.0) at SportPesa this game at Goodison Park ends all-square.
The run of draws ended with a convincing 5-0 home win over Watford on Wednesday. Liverpool have won nine away league games this season but the last two have seen them draw at West Ham and Manchester United. The odds on them getting back into winning ways with victory on Sunday are 8/13 (1.61) at BetVictor.
Liverpool have dominated the Merseyside derby for a decade. They haven’t lost to Everton in their last 18 games and have won five of the last seven. At Goodison Park, the last four games have all had under 2.5 goals scored in them. You can get odds of 10/11 (1.91) at Bet365 on that happening again this Sunday.
Everton v Liverpool Team News
Liverpool are waiting on the fitness of striker Roberto Firmino. Everton have no injury worries and are expected to continue with Dominic Calvert-Lewin up front.
Dry Spell for Salah
Liverpool may have scored five in midweek but none came from Mo Salah. The Egyptian last scored on February 9 and that’s his only goal since two goals against Crystal Palace on January 19. Even Virgil van Dijk has scored more than him in the last month and a half. Salah’s poor run has to end soon and he’s 16/5 (4.2) at William Hill to score the first goal against Everton and evens (2.0) at 188Bet to score in the match.
Under 2.5 Goals
There have been under 2.5 goals in four of Liverpool’s last five away games. That”s also happened in three of the last four Everton home league games. Previous Merseyside derbies have seen under 2.5 goals scored in three of the last four played. The last four at Goodison Park have only seen three goals scored. It’s 10/11 (1.91) at Paddy Power there’s under 2.5 goals scored on Sunday.
Liverpool have Manchester City chasing them hard for the title and can’t afford any slip-ups here. The return of Virgil van Dijk is important and if Salah could start scoring again, that title might just be theirs. A bet on Liverpool winning to nil is 13/8 (2.61) at Betfred.