Friday 3 May: 8pm KO
Live on Sky Sports
Everton’s huge investment in Summer 2018 wasn’t aimed at finishing ninth in the Premier League. It’s been an up and down season for them but they still have a chance of playing in the Europa League next season. Their final home league game of the season is against Burnley who after a battle have finally secured themselves another season in the top-flight.
With two games remaining, Everton are ninth in the Premier League and four points behind seventh-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers. They still have an outside chance of a top seven finish and that could get them into the Europa League. You can get odds of 11/1 (12.0) at Paddy Power on them finishing in the top seven.
They have a better goal difference than Wolves but their rivals host Fulham this weekend. A win at Molineux (1/2 (1.5) at Coral) would end Everton’s Europa League hopes. All Everton can do is try to win this game against Burnley. That would move them up to eighth place, just a point behind Wolves. The odds on that happening are 8/13 (1.61) at SkyBet.
Everton have only won one of their last three league games. That was of course the 4–0 demolition job on Manchester United but that’s been sandwiched between a loss at Fulham and a goalless draw away at Crystal Palace.
Earlier this year, Everton lost four out of five home league games but since then they’ve taken ten points out of 12. Not one goal has been conceded in that quartet of matches and they were played against Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal and Manchester United. It’s 6/5 (2.2) at Bet365 that Everton keep a clean sheet in this match.
Burnley played in the Europa League this season and it led to a terrible start to their league campaign. They have had to battle to get out of the bottom three but are currently 15th and nine points above the bottom three so safe for another season.
A form guide for the last 15 league fixtures has Burnley in tenth place, earning just one point less than Everton. The end of March and early April saw them win three league games in a row to edge towards safety. Their last two games are a draw at Chelsea and a defeat by millimetres by Manchester City.
Their away league form has seen only defeats at Newcastle United and Liverpool in their last eight games. Three of them have been won against the inconsistent/useless trio of Huddersfield Town, Bournemouth and Brighton and Hove Albion. There are odds of 3/1 (4.0) at William Hill on them beating Everton.
The last five games between these two clubs have produced three wins for Burnley and two for Everton. Ten games have been played since the last draw and a trip to Unibet will see you be given 16/5 (4.2) on this match ending all-square.
Everton will be without Yerry Mina but Burnley have several players missing. Peter Crouch, Steven Defour and Aaron Lennon are out but Phil Bardsley may make his return.
A Fair Few Goals?
Everton won the reverse fixture 5-1 and four of the last five games between these two clubs have seen at least three goals scored. You can get odds of 4/5 (1.8) at Betway on over 2.5 goals being scored in this match.
Richarlison to Score First?
Two of the last three Everton home league games have seen Richarlison break the deadlock. The odds on him scoring the first goal in this game are 7/2 (4.5) at Betway.
Everton would have expected more from this season but despite heavy spending, still can’t break into the top six. They still have the chance to get seventh place and might need a favour off Liverpool who play Wolves on the final day of the season. Burnley have done well to get out of trouble after a terrible start to the season. A bet on Everton to win with over 1.5 goals has odds of 10/11 (1.91) at Ladbrokes.