Sunday 13 October: 7.45pm KO
Live on Sky Sports
Wales let slip a lead in Slovakia on Thursday and that has seen them remain in fourth place in this European Championship qualifying group. They trail second placed Slovakia by three points and group leaders Croatia by six but with a game in hand. With no play-offs to fall back on, Wales could do with a win in this match.
Wales have only won two of their five games in this qualifying group. Away form is to blame for the fact they are in fourth place. Three matches have produced only the point earned in Slovakia on Thursday evening. Wales are 6/1 (7.0) at SkyBet to win this group and victory over the leaders Croatia will take them to within three points with that game in hand.
Catching Croatia isn’t their main target, just finishing second would be enough to take them into the finals. Two of their last three group games are at home. Following this Croatia match they face Hungary (third in the group, two points ahead of Wales but from a game more) and their only away remaining match is away to bottom side Azerbaijan. A couple of wins and a draw might just be enough if second placed Slovakia failed to win their away match against Croatia. It’s 19/10 (2.9) at BetVictor that Wales can beat Croatia.
Wales have so far won both of their home group matches with wins over Slovakia and Azerbaijan. They have won their last four games played at home, three of them by a 1-0 scoreline. The odds on them getting another win with that score against Croatia are 7/1 (8.0) if your bet is placed at William Hill.
Croatia are 1/4 (1.25) at Bet365 to win this group and won their home game against Wales 2-1. They have a three point lead over Slovakia but have a difficult run-in. A win in Wales would clinch their place in the finals and make their final home game against Slovakia far less stressful. Betfair will give you 7/5 (2.4) on them winning this match.
They have won all three of their home games but only earned four points from their three games. Their 4-0 win in Slovakia showed that the side which reached last year’s World Cup final can still be very dangerous.
Wales have never beaten Croatia and lost their last four matches against them. Only their first meeting ended in a draw, the odds on this game ending level are 21/10 (3.1) at Coral.
Wales are hopeful that Juventus midfielder Aaron Ramsey will play in this game. He missed the match against Slovakia on Thursday evening. Gareth Bale received a knock in that match but should be fit but Ethan Ampadu will miss the game. If you want a slightly different betting experience for this match, go to the Betbull website.
Wales would love to win this game but Croatia will be difficult to beat. It’s not that regular an occurrence for their games to see lots of goals scored. A bet on a draw with under 2.5 goals has odds of 11/4 (3.75) when placed at Paddy Power.