The UK political scene remains one of total confusion at present as Brexiit continues to dominate everything. It’s not just a case of the UK leaving the EU but it seems that the whole political landscape could change. Are Theresa May’s days as Prime Minister numbered?
A Resignation After Brexit?
Theresa May has already declared that she won’t fight another General Election as leader of the Conservative Party. The question is when will she leave number ten? It seems logical that the moment we leave the EU, then May will declare that her job is done and resigns as Prime Minister.
There are odds of 4/6 (1.66) at Ladbrokes that the Prime Minister quits her job this year. Paddy Power offer odds of 4/1 (5.0) that she leaves in March. What if we have to delay Brexit? If that is the case or simply that May decides to hang on a little longer, it’s 11/2 (6.5) with Paddy Power that she leaves her post in April of this year.
The next General Election doesn’t have to take place until 2022. May could decide to stay on until next year and then quit, giving her successor two years before going to the polls. It’s 5/4 (2.25) at Betfair that May resigns in 2020.
A New Liberal Democrat Leader Too?
It’s not just Theresa May whose time as a party leader looks to be reaching its conclusion. Sir Vince Cable is also likely to resign once Brexit is done and dusted. That would mean another new Liberal Democrat leader and current betting suggests the party will see its first female leader.
The bookies are undecided on just who that will be. Jo Swinson is 4/5 (1.8) at Paddy Power but Bet365 have Layla Morgan as their 6/5 (2.2) favourite to take over.
What about Labour and Jeremy Corbyn? Coral have 2022 as their favourite for his departure with odds of 9/4 (3.25). However, the odds on Corbyn leaving his job this year are down to 5/2 (3.5) at Ladbrokes as talk continues of unrest in the party over Brexit. It’s 7/2 (4.5) at Smarkets that the Tories, Labour and the Liberal Democrats all change their leaders this year.