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October 24, 2019, GMT+0000, 0:22 am
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Carabao Cup: Portsmouth v Southampton: Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips and Team News

Tuesday 24 September: 7.45pm KO

Live on Sky Sports

There were cheers from both groups of supporters when Portsmouth drew Southampton in the third round of the Carabao Cup. Not so from local residents in Fratton and the Hampshire Police force. This is a real derby match with no prisoners taken, well apart from the unruly fans of course.

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Portsmouth tasted success at Wembley last season when winning the EFL Trophy. Another trip to the national stadium would have been a dream for them. However, they didn’t make it to the League One play-off, losing to Sunderland in the semi-finals.

It’s not been a great start to the new season for Portsmouth. Only one win from seven league games has left them in 20th position. They are only two points above the relegation zone and already ten behind the final promotion play-off position. None of that matters on Tuesday though, because ‘the Scum’ are in town.

That’s the charming name Pompey fans give to people from Southampton. I’ve been to these derby games and have the shattered nerves to prove it. Or perhaps the Portsmouth fans are generous souls and just wanted to throw coins at the Southampton fans! It’s not a night for the faint-hearted that is for sure.

The weekend saw Portsmouth lose 1-0 at Wycombe Wanderers. Their misery was compounded by the fact that Ellis Harrison was sent off in that game. That defeat took their run of league games without a win to five. The previous three league matches had all ended in score draws.

It’s their away form which is causing them the most problems. Only one point from four games on the road but a win and two draws at home with two goals scored in each match. It’s 1/1 (2.0) at Unibet that the Pompey fans will be cheering after beating Southampton on Tuesday.

Southampton come into this game after a 3-1 home loss to Bournemouth on Friday evening. After losing to one south coast rival, the last thing they want is to lose to Portsmouth. Believe me, no Southampton fan ever wants to lose to Pompey.

They are 12th in the Premier League at the time of writing this Carabao Cup preview. That’s three points behind the Champions League places and three above the relegation zone. You can guess which one concerns them most. Before the Bournemouth defeat, Southampton had gone four league and cup games without defeat. That includes a 1-0 win at Championship side Fulham in the Carabao Cup second round.

Southampton have enjoyed success in this competition in recent years. 2014/15 saw them reach the quarter finals and two years later, they lost to Manchester United in the final. Only two of their last eight away games in this competition have been lost. One in that cup final, the other a penalty shoot-out loss to Leicester City last season. They haven’t won at Fratton Park since 1984, though only four of the last 12 derbies have been played in Portsmouth. It’s 19/20 (1.95) at 888sport that Southampton win this match.

Head-to-Head

Portsmouth fans will gleefully declare that they have no defeats in their last four games against Southampton. The last meeting between the two clubs was in 2012 when both clubs were in the Championship. That season they fought out two score draws. The odds of a draw with both teams scoring in this game are 15/4 (4.75) at BetVictor. Both teams have scored in the last six meetings, you can get 8/11 (1.72) at William Hill on that happening on Tuesday.

Team News

No major injuries reported for the game. Southampton are likely to rest some of their first-team players for this cup tie.

Prediction

This is going to be played in a less than pleasant atmosphere. There is a gap in class between the two teams though.Not since 2014 have Southampton lost to a lower league team in this competition. 10 of their last 11 League cup ties have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. A Southampton win with under 2.5 goals scored has odds of 7/2 (4.5) at Ladbrokes. Just don’t mention Harry Redknapp!!

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