Wednesday 25 September: 7.45pm KO
How much do these two clubs want to win something this season? Their real triumph will be to maintain their status as a Premier League side and both face a tough battle to do so. But in terms of competitions, this and the FA Cup are their only realistic targets. So how will they approach this Carabao Cup third round tie?
The Carabao Cup may not have the glamour of the FA Cup or the Champions League, but it’s a trophy and who doesn’t like winning a Wembley final? Both of these clubs are in the bottom six of the Premier League but a good cup run can build confidence for a team. If you have a firm opinion on who you think will be heading into the fourth round, head over to Betbull where something a little different awaits you with a unique betting experience.
Brighton drew 0-0 at Newcastle United on Saturday in the teatime match. So nice of the schedulers to put a trip that far as a 5.30pm kick-off on a Saturday night. The point was a good one for Brighton but did extend their run in the Premier League without a win to five matches. If you
Brighton used to be known for their strong home record. That’s not been the case of late though. They have earned six points in the Premier League this season but four have come on their travels. Eight competitive games have been played at the Amex Stadium since their last win, and that was over Huddersfield Town. It’s 11/10 (2.1) at Coral that they can beat Aston Villa in 90 minutes.
The Seagulls reached the FA Cup semi-finals last season but haven’t had that much luck in the League Cup. Only once since 1980 have they made it to the fourth round (last sixteen) and that was in the 2014/15 season. This game against Villa follows a 2-1 win at Bristol Rovers in the second round. Two of their last three home games in this competition have been lost. Their last home win over a Premier League side was in 2011 when beating Sunderland.
Brighton scored three goals in their opening league match of the season. Mind you, it was against Watford and since then, Albion have scored four goals in six games, two against Bristol Rovers. Five of their last six competitive home games have seen under 2.5 goals scored. The odds of that stat coming up in this game are 4/5 (1.8) at Betfair.
Aston Villa are 18th in the Premier League, a point from safety and are 13/8 (2.61) at SkyBet to be relegated this season. After spending so much during the summer, they’d have expected to be a bit higher in their first season back in the Premier League.
The weekend was another disappointing one for Villa. They led 1-0 and 2-1 at Arsenal, only to lose the game 3-2. It’d have brought back memories of their opening weekend trip to Tottenham. They led that one 1-0 before losing 3-1. The odds of Brighton coming from behind to beat Villa are 11/1 (12.0) at BetVictor.
Villa last reached the fourth round of this competition in the 2015/16 season. They have lost all three away league games this season but did beat Crewe 6-1 in the second round of the Carabao Cup. The odds on them beating Brighton in 90 minutes are 5/2 (3.5) if placing your bet with William Hill.
It’s 39 years since Brighton last beat Aston Villa. There have only been seven meetings in that time but Villa have won four with the other three being drawn. Three of the last four have ended in a stalemate and it’s 5/2 (3.5) that this game ends in a draw.
Both sides are likely to make a few changes from the teams named for the Premier League games at the weekend.
Aston Villa will be kicking themselves for giving away the lead at Arsenal on Sunday. Their away form is patchy but so is Brighton’s home record. A draw with both teams scoring has odds of 7/2 (4.5) at Betway.