Sunday 12 May: 3pm KO
Live on Sky Sports
Manchester City have 95 points but they still haven’t won the Premier League title. With one game remaining they need to win their final game away at Brighton and Hove Albion or Liverpool will be crowned champions if they can beat Wolves at home.
To have 95 points and still not be certain of retaining their Premier League title is something that must have suprised Manchester City. They have won 31 of their 37 league games this season but go into this final game with just a one-point lead over Liverpool. When Leicester City were crowned Premier League champions, they only amassed 81 points and won 23 games! This truly is a season like no other.
Manchester City are 1/10 (1.1) at Wlliam Hill to win the Premier League and become the first team to retain the title since Manchester United achieved the feat ten years ago. They have won their last 13 league games but the last few months has seen the top-of-the-table continually change hands between themselves and Liverpool. That’s mainly because the two teams barely ever play at the same time but that’s not the case this weekend with both matches kicking off at 3pm on Sunday.
City look to have the easiest of the two games on this final weekend as they travel to Brighton and Hove Albion. The defending champions have won their last six away league games and conceded just one goal in the process. As much as they are famous for the number of goals they score, their defending is top rate too. Add on a defender like Vincent Kompany who can score goals of the quality he managed against Leicester City on Monday and it’s a nightmare playing them. Kompany is 6/1 (7.0) at Betfred to score in this game.
Brighton and Hove Albion will be glad that the spotlight isn’t on them this weekend. It looked as if that might be the case as a run of dreadful form saw them slip into a relegation battle with Cardiff City. Thankfully for them, the only team Cardiff have been able to beat in recent weeks is Brighton and the Seagulls are safe for another season.
Their form isn’t one that will inspire many Liverpool fans. Brighton haven’t won in their last eight league games and scored just two goals. Home form has usually kept them afloat but this season they’ve been nowhere near as good at the AMEX Stadium. Brighton have no wins in their last four home league matches with just one goal. It’s one victory in the last eight and the only team they have managed to beat are bottom-of-the league Huddersfield Town. A win over Manchester City has odds of 16/1 (17.0) at Betfred.
They have however only lost one of their last four league games. Valuable draws at Wolves and Arsenal plus a home draw with Newcastle United have saved them from the dreaded drop. It’s 7/1 (8.0) at William Hill that this game ends level, a result that could cost Manchester City the title.
Pep Guardiola’s men have already beaten Brighton twice this season. A 2-0 home league win was followed by a 1-0 victory over them at Wembley in the FA Cup semi-final. It’s 3/1 (4.0) on City winning in a game with under 2.5 goals if placing your wager at Betfred.
Kevin de Bruyne has recovered from his hamstring injury and could play in this game. Fernandinho definitely misses the match. Brighton will be without Davy Propper and Jose Izquierdo, while Bruno plays his final game before retirement.
Low Scoring Game?
Six of the last seven Brighton games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. That stat also comes up for Manchester City in eight of their last ten league fixtures and five of the last six away from home. A wager on under 2.5 goals being scored on Sunday has odds of 2/1 (3.0) at William Hill.
Manchester City head to the south coast with just one aim and that’s to return home as champions. You can’t doubt their form even if the goals aren’t flowing as much of late. They face a Brighton and Hove Albion side who have had a fight on their hands just to stay in the division. A stronger bottom three this season may well have caught them. A Manchester City win to nil has odds of 5/6 (1.83) at Betfred.