Saturday 16 March: 3pm
Two inconsistent sides who end up doing enough to keep their places in the Premier League. Bournemouth finally won an away game last weekend, while Newcastle made a great comeback to beat Everton at home. The two sides meet this weekend and a bore draw is not expected.
Bournemouth start the weekend in 12th place in the Premier League. A 2-0 win at doomed Huddersfield Town, was a welcome result indeed. The Cherries had just one point from their previous five league games. Away form had caused them to slip into the bottom half of the table with nine straight (and often heavy) away defeats.
The three points earned last week has seen them widen the gap between them and the relegation zone to nine points. They are looking reasonably safe and are only a point behind tenth-placed Leicester City. The odds on a top-ten finish for Bournemouth are 7/5 (2.4) at Betfair.
Bournemouth are a real Jekyll and Hyde team with some impressive home performances and a whole string of terrible away results. They have only lost one of their six home league games and that was to top-of-the-table Manchester City.
They have only lost four home games in the Premier League this season. It takes a good team to go to Bournemouth and get a win as their four losses have been against both Manchester clubs, Arsenal and Liverpool. They famously beat Chelsea 4-0 at home, one of seven league wins at the Vitality Stadium this season. It’s 11/10 (2.1) at Coral that they get win number eight on Saturday.
Newcastle United have spent a fair amount of time in the Premier League relegation zone this season. Their recent form has seen them climb the table and they are now 13th in the table, but still only six points above the bottom three. The odds on them being relegated are out to 66/1 (67.0) at Unibet.
It could have been a different story if they hadn’t beaten Everton 3-2 last weekend. A defeat looked more than likely when they trailed 2-0. You can get odds of 16/1 (17.0) on them winning this match from behind.
They have only lost two of their last eight league games. Both defeats were away from home at Tottenham and West Ham United. They resemble their opponents in this game with major problems with their away form.
Newcastle United have no wins in their last six games on the road conceding 11 goals. That’s compared to five straight home league wins.
Bournemouth have only lost one of their last four games against Newcastle United. That was in this season’s reverse fixture when they lost 2-1 in November.
There are odds of 11/4 (3.75) at William Hill on them winning at Bournemouth to complete the league double.
Newcastle are still without Sean Longstaff. Bournemouth have several players out injured including Junior Stanislas, Simon Francis and Steve Cook.
Rondon on Target?
Saloman Rondon scored both goals in Newcastle’s home win over Bournemouth in November. He hit the back of the net in last week’s victory over Everton and is 19/4 (5.75) at BetVictor to score the first goal on Saturday and 9/5 (2.8) with Paddy Power to score in the game.
Under 2.5 Goals?
Five of the last six Newcastle United league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them and six out of eight on their travels. For the same stat, four of the last six Bournemouth games finished that way. You can get odds of 4/5 (1.8) at Coral on under 2.5 goals in this match.
Both teams are close to getting the 40 points that should keep them in the Premier League. Bournemouth have strong home form, while Newcastle still struggle on the road. A win for Bournemouth and under 2.5 goals is 7/2 (4.5) at 188Bet.