Wednesday 13 March: 8pm
Live on BT Sport
Two English teams are already in the last eight of the Champions League. Manchester City look likely to make it three on Tuesday but Liverpool face a tough task if it’s to be four. They drew the first leg of their last 16 tie against Bayern Munich 0-0 at Anfield and now travel to Germany hoping to make the last eight for the second successive year.
It’s 10/11 (1.91) at Betfair that an English team wins the Champions League this season. Liverpool nearly achieved that last season when losing in the final to Real Madrid, back when the Spaniards had a decent team.
Liverpool go into this second leg of their last 16 tie against Bayern Munich 10/1 (11.0) at William Hill to win the Champions League. They have it all to do though after drawing the first leg at Anfield 0-0. It’s 12/1 (13.0) at SkyBet that this second leg ends in a goalless draw.
Not conceding an away goal was perhaps the best news to come out of the first leg. An away goal for Liverpool will be their first target as it’d mean Bayern Munich will have to score at least twice to stay alive in the tie. Liverpool are 4/11 (1.36) at Sportingbet to get on the score sheet in this game.
A major problem for Liverpool is their away form in the Champions League. They lost all three of their group games and that followed defeats in the away leg of last season’s semi-final and the final. A double chance bet on Liverpool to win or draw this game is 8/11 (1.72) at Ladbrokes.
Bayern Munich had a slow start to the season but have recovered well and went top of the Bundesliga at the weekend. They beat Wolfsburg 6-0 at home to climb above Borussia Dortmund on goal difference.
They are unbeaten in their last seven games, winning six and drawing the first leg of this tie. Munich haven’t lost any of their last ten home games and have won the last seven scoring 23 goals. They are 11/10 (2.1) at Betfred to win this match.
Not since 2013 have Bayern Munich lost a home Champions League game to any club not called Real Madrid. Three times they’ve lost to the Spanish side since a defeat by Manchester City. You can get odds of 12/5 (3.4) at Paddy Power that Liverpool can come away from Bayern with a win.
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last four games against Bayern Munich. Three of those games have ended in a draw and it’s 13/5 (3.6) at BetVictor that this game ends all-square after 90 minutes. Three games at Bayern have produced two draws and a loss. Liverpool did go to Monaco to beat Bayern in the 2001 UEFA Super Cup.
Bayern Munich were without Arjen Robben, David Alaba and Kingsley Coman for Saturday’s game. Javi Martinez had to be taken off with an injury but is expected to be fit for this match.
When Will Salah Score?
It was on February 9 that Mo Salah last scored a goal for Liverpool. Since then his team have played five games and only managed to hit the back of the net in two of them. Salah hasn’t scored in an away game in two months and he’s 11/2 (6.5) at Betway on scoring the first goal in this game. He’s 33/20 (2.65) to score at any time on Wednesday.
The Mane for the Occasion
While Mo Salah has been going through a goal drought, the opposite applies to Sadio Mane. He scored twice against Burnley on Sunday making it eight for the calendar year. You can get 21/10 (3.1) at SkyBet on him scoring in this game and 14/1 (15.0) at Betfair to score at least twice, something he’s done in two of his last three games.
Under 2.5 Goals?
Five of the previous eight games between these two clubs have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. The odds of that happening on Wednesday are evens (2.0) at BoyleSports.
A tough game for Liverpool with Bayern Munich back in form and always difficult to beat at home. Liverpool’s away form in Europe isn’t impressive and a bet on a Bayern Munich win with over 1.5 goals scored is 6/4 (2.5) at Coral.