Wednesday 1 May: 8pm KO
Live on BT Sport
This is a game that would have been a perfect final. We can’t complain though because with this being a Champions League semi-final, that means we get to see it twice. Liverpool are bidding to reach the final for the second year in a row, while Barcelona are hoping to reach their first final since 2015.
Barcelona have clinched their second La Liga title in a row and can now concentrate on winning the Champions League. Despite the brilliance of Lionel Messi, Barcelona haven’t won the Champions League since the 2014/15 season. They’ve had to sit back and watch Real Madrid lift the trophy for the past three seasons.
The last five seasons has seen a Spanish team win the Champions League. In the long history of the competition previously known as the European Cup, no country has provided the winner for six consecutive seasons. Barcelona are 13/8 (2.61) at Ladbrokes to win this year and break that record.
Excluding the Supercopa de Catalunya where a virtual reserve side lost to Girona, Barcelona are on a 22-game unbeaten run with their last loss being a Copa del Rey game at Sevilla. They have won their last four matches coming into this game. Their last eight home matches have all been won and that includes a 3-0 outclassing of Manchester United in the Champions League quarter-final. You can get odds of 9/10 (1.9) at BetVictor on them beating Liverpool on Wednesday.
Their home record in this competition is a staggering one. Liverpool fans should probably miss the next sentence as it’s not pleasant reading. Barcelona haven’t lost a home game in this competition since 2013 when losing to Bayern Munich. This game is being played on May 1 and that last loss was also on that date, could that be an omen? It’s 3/1 (4.0) that Liverpool win this match if placing your bet with Paddy Power.
This season has seen Barcelona play five home games in the Champions League. Four have been won and the other was a 1-1 draw with Tottenham. Barcelona have scored 15 goals in those games and conceded just twice. In each of their wins, Barcelona have scored at least twice. The odds on them scoring two goals or more in this game are 4/6 (1.66) at SkyBet.
Liverpool could earn 97 points this season and still not win the English Premier League. At least they have got further in the Champions League than title rivals Manchester City. Liverpool are bidding to become the first English side to reach two consecutive Champions League finals since Manchester United in 2008 and 2009. You can get odds of 11/10 (2.1) with Coral on them winning this tie and 4/6 (1.66) at Betfair that Barcelona make it through to the final.
The win over Huddersfield Town on Friday was their tenth straight win in all competitions. They are on a 19-game unbeaten run but that faces a stiff test on Wednesday evening. This year’s away record in the Champions League has to be a worry for Jurgen Klopp. In the group stages, Liverpool lost all three of their away matches. It’s been better in the knock-out stages though with victories at both Bayern Munich and Porto, so which Liverpool will turn up for this game? It’s 5/2 (3.5) at William Hill that Liverpool win the Champions League this season.
Eight previous meetings have resulted in three wins for Liverpool, two for Barcelona and three draws. Barcelona have played four home games against Liverpool and not won any of them with two draws and two losses. The last meeting between the two teams was in 2007 when Barcelona won at Anfield 1-0.
Barcelona will be at full strength for this game. Liverpool have injury doubts re Roberto Firmino, Fabinho and Adam Lallana.
First Goal for Messi?
Lionel Messi has played for Barcelona against Liverpool on two occasions. He’s still looking for his first goal against them, will it happen on Wednesday? He’s 8/11 (1.72) at Betway to score in this game and Unibet will give you 3.0 (4.0) on him getting the first goal.
Low Scoring Affair?
In eight previous meetings, only two have seen over 2.5 goals scored. Two of Barcelona’s previous four home games against Liverpool have ended goalless. You can get odds of 14/1 (15.0) at Betfred on a 0-0 draw on Wednesday. 888sport will give you 5/4 (2.25) on this match having under 2.5 goals scored in it.
This should be a classic Champions League game. Both teams are in great form with plenty of attacking options. Liverpool haven’t always been at their best on their European travels this season and a bet on Barcelona winning with over 1.5 goals in the game is 23/20 (2.15) at Ladbrokes.