Thursday 14 March: 8pm
Live on BT Sport
Arsenal have it all to do to qualify for the quarter finals of the Europa League. They trail Rennes 3-1 after the away leg but will hope their impressive run of form at the Emirates will get them through.
Arsenal are 8/1 (9.0) at SkyBet to win the Europa League this season. However, they are in big trouble in this last 16 tie against French Ligue 1 side Rennes. They trail 3-1 after the first leg and are 11/10 (2.1) at William Hill to reach the quarter-finals.
They took a third-minute lead in the away first leg but it all started to go wrong just before half-time. Firstly, Sokratis Papastathopoulos was sent off and a minute later the home side equalized. After 65 minutes Arsenal went behind when Nacho Monreal scored an own goal. With just two minutes to go, Rennes added a third goal to give themselves a great chance of reaching the last eight.
Arsenal improved their chances of a top-four finish in the Premier League when beating Manchester United 2-0 on Sunday. Perhaps they might not need to win the Europa League to qualify for next season’s Champions League.
The Gunners are 3/10 (1.3) at Sportpesa to win this second leg. Their home form has seen them win eight of their last nine in all competitions. They have scored at least twice in each of those eight victories. In the Europa League this season, they have won three and drawn one (with Sporting Lisbon) and scored eight goals. It’s 1/3 (1.33) at Coral that Arsenal score at least twice in this game.
Rennes are ninth in Ligue 1 but come into this game with only one defeat in their last nine league and cup games. They followed up their victory over Arsenal with a another 3-1 win at the weekend beating Caen at home (that’s their third 3-1 win in the last five games they’ve played).
They are 9/1 (10.0) at BetVictor to win this second leg and 4/5 (1.8) at Betfair to qualify but will need to improve their away record. Rennes have lost three of their last five away matches including defeats by the teams top and bottom of Ligue 1. In the Europa League they have won their last two games but lost to both Astana and Dynamo Kiev in the group stages. You can get odds of 10/1 (11.0) at BoyleSports on them winning this match.
With a two-goal lead, Rennes will be going all out to score an away goal. That’d mean Arsenal would have to score three goals in 90 minutes just to get extra time. It’s 8/11 (1.72) that Rennes score in 90 minutes.
The first leg is the only meeting between these two sides. Both teams scored of course and you can get odds of 10/11 (1.91) on that happening on Thursday evening.
Arsenal will be without the suspended Sokratis Papastathopoulos for this second leg.
There have been penalties awarded in two of the last three Arsenal matches. There are odds of 2/1 (3.0) at Unibet on a spot-kick being awarded in this match. If Arsenal win 2-0 or 3-1, there’d be extra-time played. The odds on either side winning this tie in a penalty shoot-out are 40/1 (41.0) at SkyBet.
The last six Arsenal games have seen them ahead after 30 minutes. The odds on that happening in this game are 27/20 (2.35) at Coral.
Arsenal have an excellent home record, while Rennes often struggle on their travels. The Gunners can win this second leg but need to keep it tight at the back to prevent what could be a lethal away goal for Rennes. The Gunners have kept three clean sheets in their last four home games and a win to nil for Arsenal is 6/5 (2.2) at Betfred.