Two of the three teams relegated from the Premier League last season were newly promoted sides. The other had been in the league for just two seasons. That shows just how hard a task is ahead for Norwich City as they return to the top flight. Norwich may well need Delia Smith to cook up some way of staying in the league.
Norwich City won the Championship last season by five points. They scored 93 goals in their 46 league games but conceded 57. 15 of their home league games ended in victory for the Canaries. Their top scorer was Finnish striker Teemu Pukki who hit 29 league goals. 31 of their 46 league games had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
Norwich City haven’t exactly been splashing the cash in the summer transfer window. It’s a bit like one of Delia Smith’s cheap but cheeful recipes. They spent £750,000 on Sam Byram from West Ham and was on loan at Nottingham Forest last season. He’s a bit injury prone and the right-back has only played 29 goals in the last three seasons.
Also signed has been Swiss striker Josip Drmic from Borussia Monchengladbach on a free transfer. Patrick Roberts has signed on a season loan from Manchester City. The winger was previously on loan at Celtic and Girona and hasn’t scored since the 2017/18 season. Goalkeeper Ralf Fahrmann has arrived on loan from Schalke Not exactly the kind of spending spree that looks like keeping them in the Premier League.
As seen above, Norwich haven’t made the kind of transfers that inspire confidence in them staying up. They need more players with Premier League experience in their squad. The final week of the transfer window has to see that happen.
Norwich City conceded 57 league goals last season. If that happens in the Championship, what lies ahead of them in the Premier League? The last three seasons in the Championship saw them concede a total of 186 goals. There could be some heavy defeats on the way this season. They have conceded at least 50 goals in eight of the last nine seasons.
Can Pukki deliver the goods in the Premier League. He scored 29 league goals last season but has never played in the Premier League before. It’s extremely unlikely that he can match his scoring rate from last season, so they will need other players to step up.
Early Season Fixtures
9 August: Liverpool (away)
17 August: Newcastle United (home)
24 August: Chelsea (home)
31 August: West Ham United (away)
14 September: Manchester City (home)
Norwich have to face the top three teams from last season in their opening five games. They are a massive 22/1 (23.0) at BetVictor to open their season with a win at Anfield. Two are at home but Norwich still look unlikely to be able to pick up any points from those matches. The home game against Newcastle is their best hope of getting a win from their first five fixtures. Even so, they are 2/1 (3.0) at Unibet to win against Newcastle. West Ham away won’t be easy either unless their new signings haven’t worked out.
If they do make a slow start, the next four games are going to be vital for the Canaries. They face Burnley, Crystal Palace, Aston Villa and Bournemouth but only the Villa game is at home. Could a poor start cost their boss his job? Daniel Farke is 16/1 (17.0) at Paddy Power to be the next Premier League manager to lose his job. Perhaps a bet on Norwich being bottom at Xmas is a good idea. Bet365 will give you 4/1 (5.0) on that happening.
It looks like being a long hard season for Norwich City. They do have the reputation of being a yo-yo club and it’s hard to see them staying up. Investment has been pretty poor during the summer and they just don’t look to have a Premier League squad. A slow start looks likely and a bet on being relegated looks the one to make. Black Type will give you 11/8 (2.37) on City being relegated.