You never quite know what you’re going to get with Burnley. Two of the past three seasons has seen them struggle. Sandwiched in between is a season where they qualified for the Europa League and bored the pants off everyone. What will we get this season?
Burnley finished 15th last season but it was a struggle to finish that high. Their season got off to a terrible start, mainly due to their participation in the Europa League. Eventually they improved but finished the season only six points above the bottom three. Just what will we get from them this season?
Scoring has been a problem for Burnley in recent years. The most they have managed in the past three seasons has been 45 last year. That figure could well increase this year after the signing of Jay Rodriguez from West Bromwich Albion. It’s a homecoming for Rodriguez, who began his career at Turf Moor but has never played in the Premier League for them. He scored 22 league goals for WBA last season. This might just be one of the best signings of the summer.
The 2017/18 season saw Burnley finish seventh and conceding only 39 league goals. 24 of their 38 games had under 2.5 goals scored in them but that all changed last season. 68 goals were conceded and only 16 games saw under 2.5 goals scored. The defence that only conceded 37 home goals in the past two seasons, let in 32 last season. To avoid any chance of ending up in relegation trouble this season, that defence has to improve. William Hill will give you odds of 2/1 (3.0) that Burnley will go down this season.
The same applies to their away form. 2017/18 saw them win seven games on the road but that fell to four last season with ten defeats. 36 goals were conceded, their worst total in the past three seasons. Strange that, as the 2016/17 season saw them lose 14 away league games but only concede 35 goals.
Home form needs improvement too. Only 23 points from 19 home games isn’t good enough. 10 home league games were lost last season after 13 in the past two. Only 40 home goals have been scored in the past two league seasons, just eight more than they conceded at Turf Moor last season.
Early Fixture List
10 August: Southampton (home)
17 August: Arsenal (away)
24 August: Wolverhampton Wanderers (away)
31 August: Liverpool (home)
14 September: Brighton and Hove Albion (away)
The good news is that Burnley won’t be travelling around Europe in the Europa League this season. Their participation in that competition meant an early start to the season and contributed to a disastrous couple of opening months.
The bad news is that they have a tough start to the season. The opening home game against Southampton is a winnable one and they are 13/8 (2.61) at BetVictor to get the three points. They might need them as the next three games are all toughies.
By the time they end up at Brighton on 14 September, they may well be needing some points to get out of trouble. The two teams meet again on the final day of the season. That may well be a vital game for one of those sides.
Burnley might not make a good start to the season but a relegation battle looks unlikely. Keeping hold of Sean Dyche is important to them. He’s 40/1 (41.0) at Betfair to be the next Premier League manager to leave their club.
The addition of Rodriguez looks a key signing. Hopefully some more will be made before the summer transfer window closes. Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes scored 22 league goals between them last season. If they can make a good contribution again, then Burnley should be able to keep out of trouble. The defence has to improve and they need more than 23 points at home this season. It’s not going to be a great season and they will most likely end up in the bottom half of the table. You can get 4/9 (1.44) on them staying up this season.